Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by smilkovpetko » Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:07 pm

You need to kill 151.19 mobs to have a 99% chance for this droprate (3%)!

http://db.vanillagaming.org/?item=18563

3% droprate chance.

average times killed per drop.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Dreez » Sun Feb 07, 2016 7:16 pm

smilkovpetko wrote:You need to kill 151.19 mobs to have a 99% chance for this droprate (3%)!

http://db.vanillagaming.org/?item=18563

3% droprate chance.

average times killed per drop.

did anyone say anything else?
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Undertanker » Tue Feb 09, 2016 2:00 am

Your math doesn't factor in Essence of Fire Lord. Full TF in one run.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Salty McSalt » Tue Feb 09, 2016 6:33 am

Undertanker wrote:Essence of Fire Lord

What does that have something to do with drop rate chance? It's quest item which drops with 100% chance once you have the quest from bindings.
Undertanker wrote:Full TF in one run

Yes his math actually count witch chance of getting full TF in one run
Dreez wrote:0.03*0.03 = 0.0009
= 0.09%

statistically that's around every 1111th run
according to realmplayers there have been 3500 MC runs
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by smilkovpetko » Tue Feb 09, 2016 7:54 am

http://wowwiki.wikia.com/wiki/Drop_rate

http://ah-web.at/mobs.php

this is the system how game work with droprates

and this is the system how blizzard used always droprates
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Dreez » Tue Feb 09, 2016 8:23 am

smilkovpetko wrote:http://wowwiki.wikia.com/wiki/Drop_rate

http://ah-web.at/mobs.php

this is the system how game work with droprates

and this is the system how blizzard used always droprates

that's literally and exactly what everyone here said

but I already expected you of being unable to comprehend those complicated numbers
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Undertanker » Tue Feb 09, 2016 11:21 pm

Yeah wasn't aware of the 100% drop when you were on the quest for Essence of the Fire Lord.

But like my first post says, I'm just being Jelly.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by dustinfll » Tue Feb 09, 2016 11:49 pm

Thatoneguy wrote:
Dreez wrote:0.03*0.03 = 0.0009
= 0.09%

statistically that's around every 1111th run
according to realmplayers there have been 3500 MC runs so far since the beginning of the server, some less since they didn't drop from the beginning, some more because not all are recorded.
I guess you see where this is going


Yep, we're actually late on a double drop. Statistically speaking it would've been very likely that this has happened at least twice before.


.03 and .03 are already converted into percents as there is no need to do it twice. its actually .0009% chance as you wrote .09%.

Your statistical odds however are correct, as 1/(.0009) = a 1 in 1111 chance.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Dreez » Wed Feb 10, 2016 8:28 am

dustinfll wrote:
Thatoneguy wrote:
Dreez wrote:0.03*0.03 = 0.0009
= 0.09%

statistically that's around every 1111th run
according to realmplayers there have been 3500 MC runs so far since the beginning of the server, some less since they didn't drop from the beginning, some more because not all are recorded.
I guess you see where this is going


Yep, we're actually late on a double drop. Statistically speaking it would've been very likely that this has happened at least twice before.


.03 and .03 are already converted into percents as there is no need to do it twice. its actually .0009% chance as you wrote .09%.

Your statistical odds however are correct, as 1/(.0009) = a 1 in 1111 chance.

not sure what you are up to but 0.03 is not converted into percents (per cent = per hundred, 0.03 clearly is per 1.
3 would be per hundred obviously) so it actually is a 0.09% chance
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Pizzashoes » Wed Feb 10, 2016 8:45 am

Yeah what is this? There are few things more embarrassing than going out of your way to fail to correct someone. I love this playerbase.
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