Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Rylox » Wed Feb 10, 2016 9:36 am

Happened 2 maybe 3 times already before this.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Lowhealth » Wed Feb 10, 2016 11:38 am

While you guys are correct with the math on the chance of both bindings dropping in one raid you are forgetting about the fact that the got an eye of sulfuras on top of that. So the actual math for this run is 0.03*0.03*0.03. Meaning that the chance of this exact event taking place is 0.0027% and it will happen about every 260000 runs of molten core.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by smilkovpetko » Wed Feb 10, 2016 11:41 am

strange how everyone trying to say math

https://forum.nostalrius.org/viewtopic. ... 10#p241041

i already posted , if the item droprate is 3% , which are legendary drops , in order to have them drop you need to kill average of 100 times the same boss (this can be variate and drop sometime early) .

0.03 is not 0.03 when you come next time , this chance grows up each time you kill that boss.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Lowhealth » Wed Feb 10, 2016 11:45 am

smilkovpetko wrote:0.03 is not 0.03 when you come next time , this chance grows up each time you kill that boss.


Wot ? :shock: Its not like the boss is going to magically remember that you killed him already last week and rewards you with a higher chance of the item dropping ... You have a 3% chance of pulling that item out its dead body every single time you kill it.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Dreez » Wed Feb 10, 2016 11:57 am

smilkovpetko wrote:strange how everyone trying to say math

https://forum.nostalrius.org/viewtopic. ... 10#p241041

i already posted , if the item droprate is 3% , which are legendary drops , in order to have them drop you need to kill average of 100 times the same boss (this can be variate and drop sometime early) .

0.03 is not 0.03 when you come next time , this chance grows up each time you kill that boss.

Dreez wrote:but I already expected you of being unable to comprehend those complicated numbers

average isn't 100 times, average is 33times. Now back to elementary school please...
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by smilkovpetko » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:01 pm

Lowhealth wrote:
smilkovpetko wrote:0.03 is not 0.03 when you come next time , this chance grows up each time you kill that boss.


Wot ? :shock: Its not like the boss is going to magically remember that you killed him already last week and rewards you with a higher chance of the item dropping ... You have a 3% chance of pulling that item out its dead body every single time you kill it.


1% of people will get this item on the first kill, and another 1% (on average) of people who grind this drop will still not get it after 458 kills.

this was blizz math for 1% dropchanse, do i have to explain more how droprate system work ?

and yes you need 100 kills in order to see legendary drop once someone have it.
if someone got it twice , then you will wait for another 100 kills.

and this is server worldwide database , (which mean legendary droprate are not attached on you) but on overall server kills.
Last edited by smilkovpetko on Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:04 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Dish » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:02 pm

smilkovpetko wrote:
0.03 is not 0.03 when you come next time , this chance grows up each time you kill that boss.


I'm gonna have to let that sink in. :roll:
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Dreez » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:03 pm

Dreez wrote:but I already expected you of being unable to comprehend those complicated numbers
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by smilkovpetko » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:05 pm

Dreez wrote:
Dreez wrote:but I already expected you of being unable to comprehend those complicated numbers


sadly it is you of being unable to comprehend how system work because game for you is too complicated to accept .

https://forum.nostalrius.org/viewtopic. ... 23#p241917
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Re: Forget DFT, I'm salty over this Mythril run.

by Dreez » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:09 pm

nice edit on the "this was math for 1% dropchance"

you're still doing your best of holding up your image as re... well not gonna go deeper on that topic xD
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